Exit polls for Super Tuesday reveal interesting racial, gender, and age patterns. I have quickly examined the CNN exit polls for the primaries in California, Missouri, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New York, Tennessee.
In all states but Missouri (with Clinton 1 percent ahead there) women voters gave a much larger percentage of their votes to Senator Hillary Clinton than did men. Senator Obama won the largest percentage of male voters in Massachusetts, Connecticut, Missouri, and (by one percent) California. In all states women voters were a significantly higher proportion (56-59 percent) of total voters than were men. This may bode well for Clinton, should she become the nominee and this very large base of women shifts significantly in her direction.
For each state CNN does a racial breakdown and a combined race-age category listing, along with other breakdowns for characteristics such as religion. Studying the breakdowns for these six selected states indicates that Senator Obama did best among all black age groups, among younger white voters (especially those under 30), and among white independents where they could vote. Senator Clinton did best among white Democrats, especially those above 30, among Latino and Asian American Democrats, and usually among Catholics (and Jewish voters in California).
In California, the two older white age groups (those above 45) gave Senator Clinton a larger percentage of their votes than Senator Obama, with the reverse true for the two younger white age groups. All Latino age groups gave Clinton a substantial majority of their votes. White and Latino Democrats gave the largest percentage of their votes to Clinton, but white independents and black Democrats gave their largest percentages to Obama. Asian American voters gave a substantial majority of their votes to Clinton. Interestingly, while both Protestant and Catholic voters gave Clinton a higher percentage of their votes than they gave Obama, the great difference was for Catholics. California is a state that reported a tally for Jewish voters, who also gave Clinton the largest percentage of their votes.
In Massachusetts all age and racial groups gave Senator Clinton the greater percentage of their votes, except for black Democrats, who gave Senator Obama 63 percent, and whites in the 30-44 age bracket (a tie at 49 percent each). Clinton won the majority of Catholic and Protestant voters.
In Connecticut, Senator Obama won the largest percentage of white voters under 30, while Senator Clinton won the larger percentage of whites aged 30-59 and tied (at 49 percent) for those aged 60 and older. Clinton won the majority of white and Latino Democrats, while Obama won a majority of black Democrats and white independents voting in the Democratic primary. Interestingly, Clinton won the majority of Catholic voters, while Obama won the majority of Protestant voters.
In New York, Senator Clinton won the larger percentage of whites in age groups over 30, while Senator Obama won a substantial majority of those under 30. Obama won substantial majorities of black voters in all age groups. Clinton won a majority of white and Latino Democrats, while Obama won a majority of black Democrats and white independents voting in this democratic primary. Clinton won substantial majorities of Catholic voters.
In Missouri, Senator Clinton again won white voters in the age groups above 30, while Senator Obama won whites in the youngest age group and black voters in the various age groups. Clinton won a substantial majority of white Democrats as a group, while Obama won a substantial majority of white independents and black Democrats. In this state it was Obama who won the larger percentage of Catholic voters, while Clinton won the majority of Protestant voters.
In Tennessee, Senator Clinton won a majority of all white age groups, with Senator Obama winning a majority of all black age groups. Both white Democrats and white independents gave Clinton the larger percentage of their votes, with black Democrats and independents giving Obama a substantial majority of their votes. Clinton won a majority of both Protestant and Catholic voters.